The results: Machine vs humans – predicting the Oscars with AI.

The ballots have been counted, the results have been verified and despite our best efforts…the bookies won.

In the end our OscarBot correctly predicted 9 out of 24 wins, compared to Lily’s 13 and the bookies getting 16. No-one predicted the two big shocks of the night – Olivia Coleman winning Best Actress and Green Book winning Best Picture.

Our film buff Lily had this to say about the surprise Best Film winner:

“In many ways, the Oscar preference voting system for Best Picture means that the films that no one really hates tend to win out over divisive but, in my opinion, superior films.”

Our Data Scientist James had this to say about OscarBot’s performance:

“I would say the bot did pretty well with very limited access to any good data, especially twitter data. Given that, it’s still pretty amazing it got 9 right, and it was very on par with a lot of other similar predictive models that had a lot more training.”

Sadly, OscarBot was not available for comment.

Perhaps the lesson here is that without the right data then AI will never win. Or maybe something so political and subjective as The Oscars is just simply impossible for anyone to get 100% right.

The final results are as follows:

CATEGORY Oscarbot LILY BOOKIES
ACTOR IN A LEADING ROLE Rami Malek Rami Malek Rami Malek
ACTOR IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Mahershala Ali Mahershala Ali Mahershala Ali
ACTRESS IN A LEADING ROLE Glenn Close Glenn Close Glenn Close
ACTRESS IN A SUPPORTING ROLE Emma Stone Regina King Regina King
ANIMATED FEATURE FILM Isle of Dogs Spiderman: Into the Spiderverse Spiderman: Into the Spiderverse
CINEMATOGRAPHY A Star Is Born Roma Roma
COSTUME DESIGN The Favourite The Favourite Black Panther
DIRECTING Roma Roma Roma
DOCUMENTARY (Feature) Free Solo Free Solo Free Solo
DOCUMENTARY (Short Subject) Period. End of Sentence. Period. End of Sentence. Black Sheep
FILM EDITING The Favourite Vice Bohemian Rhapsody
FOREIGN LANGUAGE FILM Roma Roma Roma
MAKEUP AND HAIRSTYLING Vice Vice Vice
MUSIC (Original Score) If Beale Street Could Talk If Beale Street Could Talk If Beale Street Could Talk
MUSIC (Original Song) A Star Is Born A Star Is Born A Star Is Born
BEST PICTURE Roma Roma Roma
PRODUCTION DESIGN The Favourite The Favourite Black Panther
SHORT FILM (Animated) One Small Step Bao Bao
SHORT FILM (Live Action) Fauve Marguerite Detainment
SOUND EDITING Black Panther First Man A quiet Place
SOUND MIXING A Star Is Born A Star Is Born Bohemian Rhapsody
VISUAL EFFECTS First Man Avengers: Infinity War Christopher Robin
WRITING (Adapted Screenplay) Can You Ever Forgive Me? BlacKkKlansman BlacKkKlansman
WRITING (Original Screenplay) Roma The Favourite The Favourite
Total 9 13 16

 

 

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